IPL playoffs scenarios: With 10 matches to go, LSG have 6.3% chance of progressing — odds for each team explained

With 10 games remaining in the league stage, CSK, RR, SRH and KKR are already out of contention for the playoffs.


GT, RCB and PBKS are now sure to make the playoffs, but MI still have a fair chance and DC relatively less so, while LSG have slim chances.

There remain 1,024 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the six remaining in the race.

We look at the probabilities:



How we arrive at the probabilities:

There are 1,024 possible combinations of results remaining with 10 games to go.

For each team, we looked at how many of these end up with them being among the top four either singly or tied.

We also looked at how many combinations put each team in the top two either singly or jointly.

For instance, GT finish in the top two in 848 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 82.8% chance of being first or second, singly or jointly.